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    <title>Decision-Rules on Programmer.ie: Modern AI programming</title>
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      <title>Replicate Before You Believe</title>
      <link>http://programmer.ie/books/applied-ai/27-chapter/</link>
      <pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2026 05:00:27 +0100</pubDate>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Part 5 — More Intelligence Is Not Automatically Better&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&#xA;&lt;h2 id=&#34;the-challenger-gets-its-matched-fight&#34;&gt;The challenger gets its matched fight&lt;/h2&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Chapter 26 ended with a subgroup that looked like a better prompt and a refusal to promote it. This chapter runs the test that refusal called for, and states the answer before interpreting it: at twelve draws per task on both sides, counterfactual wording covered 9 of 12 tasks, matching normal wording, passed 44 of 144 candidates, also matching, while using 46% more tokens. Normal stays the default.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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